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We're discussing Tropical Activity possible headed this way


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Old 09-22-2008, 11:06 AM   #1
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Chazman1117 on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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I am a weather buff as well and these guys were really on target with Gustave and Ike and they are concerned for Long Island with this one.....Looks like this weekend if it comes to fruition.....



From the Accuweather Forums:


From user mike18xx:

The models are predicting a type of storm fairly similar to the "Long Island Express" -- a storm that slants up a negatively-tilted trough along the southwest side of high pressure to the northeast, rather than recurving.



From WhitePlainsNYBlizzard:

So far the Monday's 00Z model suite:
  • 00Z GFS; glancing blow to eastern Long Island. southeastern New England including Cape Cod and then down east Maine.
  • 00Z GFDL; a direct Mid-Atlantic hit around northern Delmarva/Southern New Jersey; 956MB CAT3 hurricane, with Philadelphia and New York City on target for the northeast quadrant.
  • 00Z HWRF; a direct Mid-Atlantic hit around southern Delmarva; 960MB CAT3 hurricane, with Philadelphia and NYC on target for the northeast quadrant.

WHOA!!!

126 hours out, last frame:

CAT3 hurricane landfall somewhere around southern New Jersey...









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Old 09-22-2008, 11:28 AM   #2
 
FIRE07 on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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Better not be Sunday, it's the last game at Shea


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Old 09-22-2008, 11:40 AM   #3
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bluewave7812 on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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THANKS BRO!!! I am coming home this weekend to this!!


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Old 09-22-2008, 01:00 PM   #4
 
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Not going to happen. The spread on those models is so wide, and by the time it reaches LI it'll be a CAT1, tops. Remember that "Tropical Storm" we got a few weeks ago? What a joke.


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Old 09-22-2008, 01:12 PM   #5
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Chazman1117 on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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Hope so.....


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Old 09-22-2008, 01:14 PM   #6
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bluewave7812 on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chazman1117 View Post
Hope so.....

I think I will take a quick course on base jumping.

I am not letting a another Huricane stand in my way of getting home, Ike is enough.


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Old 09-22-2008, 01:25 PM   #7
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Chazman1117 on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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At least u didnt get malaria......LOL


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Old 09-22-2008, 01:32 PM   #8
 
Commander on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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Its obvously a little too early to make any definitive predictions about strength or path. Let's see how the next few days pan out.


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Old 09-22-2008, 01:34 PM   #9
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FIRE07 View Post
Better not be Sunday, it's the last game at Shea
Would be a shame - the Mets have lots planned for Sunday. (Yankees did a great job last night, and I am definitely NOT a Yankee fan). Hopefully they will have clinched, at least the wild card, by Sunday. (What would they do if the game is cancelled, but meaningless in terms of playoffs? They usually don't play those games - Saturday could end up being the last game).

What is the name of the storm?


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Old 09-22-2008, 01:39 PM   #10
 
Commander on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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This weekend was the 70th anniversary of the "Long Island Express" aka the hurricane of 1938 which killed 50 people. They called it the Long Island Express for several reasons one being that the forward speed of the hurricane was about 70 mph. The storm made it from the bahamas to Long Island in less than a day.


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Old 09-22-2008, 01:51 PM   #11
 
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It would be "Kyle." Bet the folks in Manhasset-Lakeville have fun with that.


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Old 09-22-2008, 03:00 PM   #12
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bluewave7812 on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chazman1117 View Post
At least u didnt get malaria......LOL

I will have to contend with Huricane WIFE if my azz isn't home this weekend.



Last edited by bluewave7812 : 09-22-2008 at 03:48 PM.
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Old 09-22-2008, 03:11 PM   #13
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Navy076996 View Post
Not going to happen. The spread on those models is so wide, and by the time it reaches LI it'll be a CAT1, tops. Remember that "Tropical Storm" we got a few weeks ago? What a joke.
Even a category 1 storm on Long Island often will have the same effect as a Cat 2 down south because of the forward movement and speed of the storm. Being prepared is something that all Long Islanders should do NOW. This is a peak time of year for tropical systems. Disregarding information that is available is foolish,especially if you live by the water. Lets hope this doesn't happen, but history has said that it will, and we are quite overdue!


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Old 09-22-2008, 03:14 PM   #14
 
FIRE07 on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5803 View Post
Would be a shame - the Mets have lots planned for Sunday. (Yankees did a great job last night, and I am definitely NOT a Yankee fan). Hopefully they will have clinched, at least the wild card, by Sunday. (What would they do if the game is cancelled, but meaningless in terms of playoffs? They usually don't play those games - Saturday could end up being the last game).

What is the name of the storm?
I would imagine they'd play the next day. All I know is that the tickets cost a fortune, and I will be very....unhappy if it gets rained out. Do you know what they have planned in terms of festivities?


Quote:
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It would be "Kyle." Bet the folks in Manhasset-Lakeville have fun with that.


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Old 09-22-2008, 03:36 PM   #15
 
Bruce on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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this is way to early to judge what its going to do.


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Old 09-22-2008, 04:36 PM   #16
 
FourPagers on Tropical Activity possible headed this way - Nassau FD Rant
 
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It's never too early to be prepared.
Thanks for the info, chazman.


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Old 09-22-2008, 04:45 PM   #17
 
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What if the Hurricane's name was Hurricane Ditka?